VisaGrade
🇨🇦 Canada Visa

Canada Visa Approval Chances
Calculator 2025

Check your personal Canada visa approval chances based on your passport nationality. Instant grade — free, no login.

24%Overall Refusal Rate
2.8MApplications Per Year
195Nationalities Scored
🇨🇦 Check My Canada Visa Grade →

Canada Visa Refusal Rates by Nationality

Canada visa refusal rates vary significantly by passport nationality. The data below is sourced from official government statistics. Use the VisaGrade calculator above to get your personalised score combining nationality, financial proof, travel history, and more.

Nationality Approx. Refusal Rate Risk Level Check Your Grade
India 24% Medium Check Grade →
China 19% Medium Check Grade →
Nigeria 48% High Check Grade →
Pakistan 38% High Check Grade →
Philippines 20% Medium Check Grade →
Bangladesh 42% High Check Grade →
Nepal 32% Medium Check Grade →
Sri Lanka 26% Medium Check Grade →
Vietnam 28% Medium Check Grade →
Indonesia 22% Medium Check Grade →
Thailand 18% Medium Check Grade →
Myanmar 35% High Check Grade →
Cambodia 32% Medium Check Grade →
Mexico 15% Medium Check Grade →
Brazil 14% Low Check Grade →
Colombia 24% Medium Check Grade →
Venezuela 38% High Check Grade →
Peru 20% Medium Check Grade →
Ecuador 20% Medium Check Grade →
Ghana 40% High Check Grade →

How to Improve Your Canada Visa Approval Chances

Canada weighs ties to home country heavily. Employment letters, property ownership, and family responsibilities in your home country all help.

✓ Provide 3+ months of bank statements showing consistent income and healthy balance
✓ Write a clear cover letter explaining your purpose of visit, itinerary, and intent to return home
✓ Show strong ties to your home country: employment letter, property ownership, family responsibilities
✓ If you have ever held a US, UK, Schengen, Canadian, or Australian visa, include evidence of it
✓ Book refundable accommodation and flights — do not book non-refundable travel before approval
✓ Apply well in advance — last-minute applications raise suspicion about the urgency of travel